Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/3 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +20.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -2.4 | -1.9 | +4.7 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | -2.9 | -4.5 | +8.6 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,300 from Ooi Takaharu | 21% | 20% | 34% | 25% | +11.4 | +0.2 | -3.4 | -8.2 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 28% | 20% | 32% | 20% | -0.4 | -15.1 | +20.0 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 11% | 51% | 14% | -11.4 | -3.8 | +17.3 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 7% | 73% | 9% | -7.4 | -15.8 | -1.1 | +24.3 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 7% | 1% | 73% | 19% | +24.2 | -13.6 | -2.3 | -8.3 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 15% | 0% | 71% | 14% | -0.4 | 0.0 | +15.1 | -14.7 |