Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/3 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +19.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -4.0 | -2.5 | +8.2 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 22% | 30% | 25% | -4.5 | -2.7 | +6.6 | +0.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,300 from Takaharu Ooi | 19% | 21% | 35% | 25% | +12.5 | 0.0 | -5.2 | -7.3 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 29% | 20% | 30% | 21% | +0.6 | -15.9 | +19.1 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 12% | 47% | 15% | -12.2 | -3.8 | +19.5 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 7% | 73% | 10% | -8.1 | -16.4 | -1.5 | +26.0 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 6% | 1% | 72% | 21% | +25.0 | -13.0 | -2.7 | -9.3 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 15% | 0% | 69% | 16% | -0.8 | +0.1 | +16.3 | -15.6 |