Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/4 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+57.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +26.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 1,500 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 24% | -5.9 | +2.4 | +1.4 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 27% | 26% | 26% | +26.4 | -12.0 | -9.3 | -5.1 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 43% | 17% | 19% | 21% | +21.3 | -19.8 | -2.9 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 64% | 7% | 11% | 18% | +6.4 | -0.4 | +0.8 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 74% | 6% | 9% | 11% | -8.4 | +24.6 | -7.5 | -8.7 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 67% | 14% | 9% | 10% | +12.6 | -5.8 | +0.6 | -7.3 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 3% | 6% | 5% | +0.3 | -8.9 | -21.1 | +29.7 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 89% | 1% | 0% | 10% | +2.5 | +29.5 | -8.5 | -23.5 |