Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/4 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+57.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -3.9 | +4.3 | +0.2 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% | +26.2 | -13.2 | -8.5 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 41% | 17% | 18% | 23% | +22.3 | -19.5 | -0.8 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 65% | 7% | 12% | 17% | +5.4 | -1.4 | +0.5 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 8,000 | 73% | 5% | 10% | 12% | -5.8 | +24.0 | -6.9 | -11.4 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 70% | 13% | 9% | 8% | +9.9 | -4.1 | -1.0 | -4.8 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 84% | 5% | 6% | 6% | +0.7 | -9.6 | -20.5 | +29.3 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 8,000 | 89% | 1% | 0% | 10% | +2.6 | +29.5 | -8.7 | -23.3 |