Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/4 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+95.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +24.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | -13.5 | -6.7 | -3.8 | +24.1 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 14% | 20% | 22% | 44% | -21.0 | -2.2 | -1.5 | +24.7 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 13% | 16% | 66% | +23.0 | -4.2 | -17.6 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,900 | 12% | 12% | 8% | 68% | -1.6 | -3.8 | -1.4 | +6.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 9% | 9% | 6% | 75% | +5.5 | -0.3 | -7.0 | +1.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 9% | 7% | 4% | 80% | +3.9 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 8% | 4% | 76% | -13.6 | -8.9 | +22.5 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 6% | 10% | 80% | -11.5 | +35.7 | -13.7 | -10.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Nakada Kana | 3% | 23% | 7% | 67% | -10.7 | -5.4 | +12.1 | +4.0 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 14% | 11% | 74% | -0.7 | -2.6 | +4.8 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 1% | 13% | 13% | 73% | -13.5 | -1.1 | -5.8 | +20.3 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 9,600 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 99% | -4.3 | -3.5 | -3.2 | +11.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.2 | -1.6 | -2.4 | +6.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.4 | -26.7 | +12.6 | +12.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.6 | -1.1 | -0.9 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.9 | +4.2 | +2.3 | -3.6 |