Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/4 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+95.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +24.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -14.5 | -5.2 | -4.8 | +24.5 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 15% | 20% | 22% | 43% | -20.3 | -1.8 | -1.0 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 14% | 16% | 65% | +21.3 | -4.7 | -15.5 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,900 | 12% | 11% | 10% | 67% | -2.3 | -1.7 | -4.8 | +8.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki | 9% | 8% | 5% | 77% | +5.5 | -0.1 | -4.7 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 8% | 5% | 77% | +7.1 | -2.6 | -3.7 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 7% | 4% | 76% | -15.7 | -9.6 | +25.4 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 5% | 10% | 80% | -12.5 | +35.7 | -12.5 | -10.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Kana Nakada | 3% | 22% | 8% | 67% | -8.8 | -4.6 | +9.0 | +4.5 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 14% | 10% | 75% | -1.6 | -1.5 | +2.9 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 1% | 13% | 11% | 75% | -14.1 | -0.8 | -3.4 | +18.2 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 9,600 | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -3.9 | -4.1 | -3.0 | +11.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.3 | -1.9 | -2.4 | +6.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.6 | -26.9 | +12.6 | +12.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.2 | -0.5 | -1.2 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.4 | +3.8 | +2.7 | -3.1 |