Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/6 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +57.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Takeuchi Genta | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -4.0 | +0.5 | +6.9 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 24% | 31% | 24% | +1.3 | -5.1 | +3.7 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 20% | 33% | 23% | +12.0 | -1.0 | -7.1 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 32% | 20% | 26% | 21% | +5.9 | -6.5 | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 36% | 16% | 27% | 20% | -1.4 | +4.7 | -0.2 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 35% | 19% | 28% | 18% | +1.2 | -17.6 | +19.9 | -3.5 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 7% | 45% | 14% | -12.4 | +57.6 | -31.3 | -13.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 20% | 58% | 11% | 11% | -1.4 | -3.0 | -0.7 | +5.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 53% | 13% | 14% | +1.5 | +31.2 | -11.0 | -21.7 |