Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/6 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +57.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Genta Takeuchi | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -3.0 | 0.0 | +4.6 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 24% | 29% | 24% | -2.2 | -3.5 | +4.5 | +1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 21% | 32% | 25% | +14.5 | -3.8 | -6.1 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 33% | 18% | 27% | 22% | +4.5 | -6.2 | +4.2 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 14% | 30% | 19% | -2.6 | +6.3 | -2.8 | -0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 34% | 20% | 28% | 19% | +2.9 | -16.9 | +17.0 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 7% | 42% | 16% | -12.0 | +57.1 | -29.9 | -15.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 59% | 11% | 10% | -2.7 | -2.6 | -0.4 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 54% | 13% | 13% | +1.5 | +30.5 | -10.7 | -21.3 |