Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/7 Game 2
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+92.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +7.2 | +1.2 | -5.1 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 29% | 26% | 22% | 23% | -4.6 | +8.8 | +1.3 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 25% | 31% | 23% | 21% | -2.0 | +2.5 | +2.5 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 24% | 33% | 24% | 19% | -31.0 | +34.8 | -3.8 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 6% | 64% | 17% | 14% | +11.8 | -1.0 | -11.7 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 10% | 64% | 12% | 14% | +1.9 | +1.8 | +3.8 | -7.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 9% | 66% | 13% | 11% | +15.4 | -12.7 | -2.8 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 20% | 54% | 13% | 13% | +0.5 | -2.1 | -4.6 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 9,600 | 19% | 53% | 11% | 16% | -8.9 | -9.3 | -9.8 | +27.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 42% | 8% | 35% | -10.4 | -16.3 | -5.7 | +32.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,900 from Nikaido Aki | 8% | 21% | 5% | 67% | -0.3 | -11.7 | +1.2 | +10.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 5,800 from Nikaido Aki | 6% | 11% | 4% | 79% | +2.2 | -15.3 | +1.1 | +12.0 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Suzuki Daisuke | 4% | 4% | 2% | 90% | -1.5 | +0.1 | +7.2 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 4% | 4% | 3% | 88% | +5.7 | -2.4 | -1.5 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 4% | 4% | 86% | +3.6 | +2.3 | -3.2 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 6% | 3% | 84% | -9.7 | -4.6 | -2.6 | +16.9 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 5,800 from Date Arisa | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | 0.0 | +15.0 | -14.7 | -0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 2% | 1% | 97% | -2.5 | +20.8 | -16.8 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 93% | -0.7 | -3.2 | +2.2 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 0% | 98% | +2.1 | -1.8 | +1.2 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 1% | 0% | 98% | +13.1 | -2.5 | -11.4 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.8 | -5.3 | -6.0 | +18.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +19.6 | -15.6 | -0.6 | -3.4 |