Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/7 Game 2
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+92.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +33.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +2.3 | +3.1 | -2.6 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -0.9 | +8.8 | -1.3 | -6.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 33% | 23% | 19% | -1.3 | +2.1 | +2.9 | -3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 24% | 33% | 25% | 18% | -32.3 | +34.8 | -4.2 | +1.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Arisa Date | 6% | 65% | 15% | 14% | +15.3 | -0.9 | -13.1 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 11% | 66% | 11% | 13% | +0.6 | -0.5 | +4.3 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 10% | 66% | 13% | 11% | +11.4 | -8.0 | -3.0 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 60% | 11% | 13% | +1.2 | -3.8 | -2.7 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 9,600 | 19% | 54% | 11% | 16% | -8.2 | -10.5 | -8.1 | +26.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 42% | 10% | 33% | -9.0 | -16.0 | -8.9 | +33.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,900 from Aki Nikaido | 8% | 20% | 5% | 68% | 0.0 | -10.8 | +0.8 | +10.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,800 from Aki Nikaido | 5% | 12% | 4% | 79% | +2.4 | -15.9 | +1.8 | +11.7 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Arisa Date ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki | 5% | 4% | 3% | 89% | -2.4 | -1.5 | +9.4 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 5% | 4% | 88% | +4.5 | -2.1 | -1.4 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 4% | 4% | 87% | +5.7 | +2.7 | -4.6 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 6% | 4% | 83% | -8.3 | -4.1 | -4.7 | +17.2 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 5,800 from Arisa Date | 0% | 2% | 1% | 97% | -3.2 | +15.0 | -11.6 | -0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 0% | 2% | 1% | 97% | -1.7 | +21.7 | -18.1 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 93% | -0.4 | -4.5 | +2.3 | +2.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +1.9 | -2.2 | +1.5 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 0% | 1% | 1% | 99% | +12.8 | -1.5 | -11.6 | +0.3 |
| South 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.0 | -6.0 | -5.8 | +17.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +19.5 | -15.7 | -0.7 | -3.1 |