Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/10 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+57.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +60.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -1.2 | -21.6 | +22.8 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 21% | 13% | 42% | 24% | -10.7 | +13.5 | -1.9 | -0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 17% | 19% | 40% | 24% | -14.3 | +46.5 | -16.0 | -16.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 8% | 55% | 24% | 13% | -12.2 | -3.5 | +13.8 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 3,000 | 4% | 51% | 33% | 12% | -4.0 | -2.9 | +9.2 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 3% | 45% | 41% | 11% | +5.9 | +0.4 | -5.0 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 48% | 37% | 11% | -2.5 | +4.5 | -5.9 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 4% | 54% | 29% | 13% | -2.1 | -26.3 | +33.9 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 20% | 72% | 6% | +29.4 | -10.2 | -6.5 | -12.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 11% | 17% | 67% | 5% | +39.9 | -1.5 | -37.4 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 46% | 20% | 26% | 8% | +3.2 | +0.1 | -11.1 | +7.8 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 20% | 19% | 9% | -5.6 | -16.4 | +29.7 | -7.8 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 6,000 | 43% | 8% | 43% | 7% | -12.3 | -5.4 | +22.2 | -4.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 19% | 3% | 74% | 4% | -14.6 | +0.5 | +6.4 | +7.7 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Yu Suzuki | 3% | 1% | 91% | 5% | -0.2 | -21.4 | -0.7 | +22.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 0% | 88% | 9% | +60.1 | -7.0 | -37.5 | -15.6 |