Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/11 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+51.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -13.9 | +16.4 | -3.6 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 17% | 35% | 22% | 26% | -5.1 | +2.1 | +6.7 | -3.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 37% | 27% | 22% | +20.5 | -9.5 | -6.9 | -4.1 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 26% | 30% | 23% | 21% | -7.7 | +15.3 | -7.9 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 44% | 16% | 20% | -1.8 | -1.1 | +11.0 | -8.1 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 19% | 43% | 23% | 15% | -4.2 | +5.3 | -13.2 | +12.0 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 13% | 50% | 15% | 22% | +0.2 | -2.4 | -2.4 | +4.6 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 14% | 49% | 14% | 23% | +34.0 | +2.2 | -2.7 | -33.5 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 39% | 48% | 5% | 8% | -12.1 | +24.1 | +9.0 | -21.0 |