Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/11 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+51.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +23.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -14.7 | +16.1 | -2.4 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 37% | 22% | 25% | -2.3 | +2.3 | +2.4 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 38% | 24% | 24% | +18.1 | -10.2 | -2.5 | -5.4 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 25% | 30% | 23% | 22% | -8.6 | +15.4 | -6.9 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 44% | 17% | 21% | +0.2 | +0.3 | +8.9 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 19% | 45% | 23% | 14% | -3.3 | +3.3 | -13.2 | +13.2 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 14% | 49% | 15% | 21% | -1.6 | -1.0 | -3.2 | +5.8 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 13% | 50% | 14% | 23% | +34.6 | +1.9 | -2.6 | -33.9 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 37% | 50% | 5% | 8% | -11.4 | +23.3 | +9.8 | -21.8 |