Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/11 Game 2
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +21.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Takaki Asai | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -4.6 | -2.1 | +14.5 | -7.9 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 22% | 25% | 34% | 19% | +1.2 | -16.6 | +12.3 | +3.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 13% | 45% | 21% | -1.9 | -2.7 | +7.0 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Takaki Asai | 18% | 11% | 53% | 18% | -3.8 | +2.3 | +29.5 | -28.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 7% | 81% | 5% | -0.6 | -0.2 | -1.0 | +1.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takaki Asai ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 8% | 6% | 82% | 5% | -0.8 | -17.5 | -1.9 | +20.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 7,800 | 8% | 3% | 80% | 9% | -8.5 | -6.7 | -5.5 | +20.6 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Takaki Asai ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 6% | 3% | 72% | 19% | -0.6 | -7.9 | -2.4 | +10.9 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 6% | 2% | 67% | 26% | -18.5 | +3.7 | +19.9 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 7,700 from Mari Takamiya | 1% | 1% | 89% | 10% | +14.9 | -3.1 | -13.6 | +1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 2,700 | 4% | 1% | 76% | 19% | -5.7 | -2.7 | -0.1 | +8.5 |
| South 2 | Takaki Asai tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 1% | 76% | 23% | -0.7 | -6.2 | -3.4 | +10.3 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 0% | 68% | 32% | +18.2 | -1.7 | -37.6 | +21.0 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 2% | 0% | 13% | 84% | -0.6 | -2.6 | -2.5 | +5.7 |