Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/11 Game 2
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 4 honba: Asai Takaki tsumo 7,800, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +22.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Asai Takaki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.3 | -2.8 | +11.8 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 21% | 23% | 34% | 22% | +0.7 | -13.8 | +14.1 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 20% | 14% | 46% | 20% | -1.6 | -3.1 | +5.4 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 18% | 12% | 51% | 19% | -5.3 | +2.0 | +31.4 | -28.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 6% | 82% | 5% | -1.8 | +1.4 | -2.3 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Asai Takaki ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji | 8% | 5% | 83% | 5% | -0.7 | -18.0 | +0.2 | +18.4 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 3% | 82% | 9% | -6.2 | -8.3 | -7.8 | +22.3 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Asai Takaki ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 7% | 2% | 72% | 19% | -0.3 | -6.6 | -3.3 | +10.2 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 7% | 2% | 65% | 26% | -17.7 | +2.7 | +20.9 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 7,700 from Takamiya Mari | 1% | 1% | 88% | 10% | +13.1 | -3.0 | -12.8 | +2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 2,700 | 4% | 1% | 75% | 19% | -5.3 | -1.9 | -1.2 | +8.5 |
| South 2 | Asai Takaki tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 1% | 74% | 24% | -0.3 | -7.0 | -2.9 | +10.2 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 0% | 68% | 32% | +18.1 | -1.6 | -38.1 | +21.6 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 2% | 0% | 12% | 85% | -0.7 | -2.6 | -1.6 | +4.9 |