Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/13 Game 1
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 16,000, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +73.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -4.0 | -6.9 | +2.5 | +8.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 20% | 27% | 31% | -3.3 | +8.3 | -3.4 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 25% | 24% | 29% | -10.6 | +32.0 | -9.9 | -11.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 13% | 51% | 16% | 20% | -1.4 | -11.2 | -2.4 | +15.0 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 40% | 16% | 31% | -9.3 | -15.4 | +35.7 | -11.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 26% | 41% | 24% | +0.3 | -6.3 | +0.5 | +5.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 10% | 22% | 41% | 27% | +8.8 | -5.7 | +0.9 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 18% | 44% | 24% | -5.5 | -2.6 | +16.2 | -8.1 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 10% | 15% | 60% | 15% | +10.9 | +0.2 | +0.8 | -11.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 3,200 | 13% | 15% | 63% | 10% | -8.3 | +8.6 | +1.8 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 17% | 67% | 10% | -6.4 | -13.7 | +2.3 | +17.8 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 4% | 8% | 73% | 15% | -7.9 | -1.2 | +3.4 | +5.7 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 4% | 82% | 13% | -11.9 | +73.3 | -35.9 | -25.5 |