Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/13 Game 1
Masatoshi Sarukawa finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 16,000, which moved Masatoshi Sarukawa's expected points by +73.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 23% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +1.6 | -8.0 | -0.9 | +7.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 20% | 25% | 32% | -4.9 | +9.7 | -1.4 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 26% | 25% | 28% | -10.9 | +32.0 | -11.0 | -10.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 13% | 51% | 16% | 20% | -1.0 | -12.3 | -1.5 | +14.7 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 39% | 16% | 31% | -10.0 | -16.1 | +35.4 | -9.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 25% | 40% | 26% | +1.6 | -4.8 | +0.8 | +2.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 10% | 23% | 42% | 26% | +6.7 | -5.7 | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 19% | 42% | 25% | -3.8 | -3.8 | +19.1 | -11.4 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 9% | 14% | 64% | 13% | +10.9 | -0.2 | 0.0 | -10.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 3,200 | 12% | 14% | 63% | 11% | -9.4 | +11.2 | +0.4 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 20% | 65% | 9% | -5.9 | -15.7 | +2.7 | +18.9 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 4% | 7% | 72% | 17% | -7.5 | -1.1 | +3.9 | +4.7 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 16,000 | 1% | 3% | 82% | 14% | -12.3 | +73.4 | -35.8 | -25.2 |