Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/13 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+78.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Katsumata Kenji ron 32,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +77.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 23% | 26% | 27% | 24% | +7.8 | -1.8 | -5.5 | -0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 23% | 23% | 25% | +30.8 | -10.5 | -11.2 | -9.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Watanabe Futoshi | 53% | 16% | 14% | 17% | +17.1 | -17.3 | +1.5 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 16,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 69% | 7% | 11% | 13% | -44.3 | -0.3 | +44.9 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 9% | 48% | 16% | -1.0 | -8.1 | -2.3 | +11.4 |
| East 3 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 6% | 46% | 22% | -4.7 | +18.4 | -10.4 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 13% | 39% | 23% | +29.6 | -8.3 | -6.6 | -14.7 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 54% | 7% | 28% | 11% | -40.3 | +0.1 | +40.5 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 32,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 9% | 6% | 78% | 7% | +77.2 | -48.9 | -26.8 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 86% | 0% | 12% | 1% | +5.1 | -0.9 | -16.5 | +12.3 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,100 | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +3.3 | +0.3 | +4.4 | -8.0 |