Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/13 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+78.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kenji Katsumata ron 32,000 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +77.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | +5.8 | -3.2 | -3.0 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 25% | 22% | 25% | +33.6 | -10.8 | -12.2 | -10.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,800 from Futoshi Watanabe | 56% | 16% | 13% | 16% | +13.3 | -14.8 | +2.1 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 16,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 68% | 8% | 12% | 13% | -38.5 | -3.1 | +43.5 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada tsumo 5,200 | 31% | 9% | 45% | 15% | -3.8 | -9.6 | -2.5 | +15.9 |
| East 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 5% | 44% | 23% | -5.7 | +21.1 | -9.1 | -6.4 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 14% | 38% | 22% | +27.2 | -9.1 | -3.8 | -14.4 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 51% | 8% | 30% | 11% | -38.8 | -0.8 | +38.4 | +1.3 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 32,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 8% | 5% | 79% | 8% | +77.7 | -48.7 | -26.2 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 85% | 0% | 14% | 1% | +4.8 | -0.1 | -17.2 | +12.4 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,100 | 96% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +3.6 | -0.1 | +4.3 | -7.8 |