Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

3/14 Game 1

Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +33.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance	Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance	Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance	Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance	Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change	Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change	Kobayashi Go Expected pt change	Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change
East 1	Takeuchi Genta ron 2,900 from Kobayashi Go	24%	25%	26%	25%	+6.6	-2.0	-5.0	+0.5
East 1, 1 honba	Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000	29%	23%	22%	26%	-10.9	-3.0	+19.7	-5.8
East 2	Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000	20%	21%	37%	22%	-10.1	+30.8	-11.0	-9.8
East 2, 1 honba	Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato	15%	44%	26%	15%	+1.1	+29.6	-3.2	-27.5
East 2, 2 honba	Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go	9%	71%	16%	4%	+8.7	-0.3	-9.1	+0.7
East 3	Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,000	11%	74%	11%	4%	+19.2	-2.2	-12.4	-4.6
East 4	Draw	21%	70%	6%	3%	+4.7	-9.2	+3.4	+1.2
East 4, 1 honba	Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000	28%	59%	9%	4%	-12.8	-11.7	-16.0	+40.4
East 4, 2 honba	Takeuchi Genta ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go	24%	51%	7%	19%	+4.0	+2.7	-4.3	-2.4
South 1	Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Takeuchi Genta	26%	53%	6%	15%	-27.0	+5.4	+19.2	+2.4
South 2	Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000	8%	65%	11%	17%	-8.4	+33.9	-13.4	-12.1
South 2, 1 honba	Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000	0%	95%	1%	3%	-9.1	-5.7	-7.1	+21.9
South 3	Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000	0%	93%	1%	6%	+0.6	+3.9	-5.7	+1.3
South 4	Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,000	0%	97%	0%	3%	+13.4	-0.2	-8.0	-5.1

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)