Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/14 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,900 from Go Kobayashi | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +8.1 | -0.4 | -8.1 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 24% | 20% | 27% | -10.9 | -6.1 | +22.8 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 20% | 36% | 22% | -12.7 | +33.8 | -10.3 | -10.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 14% | 45% | 26% | 16% | +1.2 | +28.5 | -2.6 | -27.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 9% | 71% | 16% | 4% | +10.8 | -0.8 | -10.8 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 72% | 12% | 4% | +20.3 | -3.1 | -11.2 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 67% | 7% | 3% | +3.0 | -5.6 | +0.9 | +1.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000 | 29% | 61% | 7% | 3% | -15.7 | -11.4 | -14.5 | +41.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 22% | 53% | 7% | 19% | +5.6 | +1.5 | -3.5 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 25% | 54% | 5% | 15% | -25.0 | +7.0 | +17.1 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000 | 9% | 67% | 10% | 15% | -9.5 | +32.1 | -11.5 | -11.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 97% | 1% | 2% | -9.0 | -6.4 | -7.0 | +22.3 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 93% | 1% | 6% | +0.3 | +3.8 | -5.6 | +1.5 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 96% | 0% | 4% | +13.7 | +0.1 | -8.8 | -5.0 |