Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/17 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Maki Asami tsumo 18,000, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +63.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,500 from Hiroshi Daigo | 23% | 24% | 27% | 26% | +6.6 | -4.5 | -2.5 | +0.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Maki Asami | 28% | 22% | 25% | 26% | -3.5 | +0.3 | -2.8 | +6.0 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 21% | 24% | 30% | +31.3 | -16.4 | -9.4 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 52% | 10% | 15% | 23% | +0.3 | -9.8 | -1.4 | +10.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 51% | 6% | 13% | 30% | +2.4 | -1.7 | -3.5 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 53% | 5% | 11% | 31% | -11.7 | +10.8 | -0.4 | +1.4 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 10% | 12% | 36% | +33.0 | -8.2 | -7.1 | -17.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 79% | 4% | 5% | 12% | -17.0 | -4.3 | +18.3 | +3.0 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 7,800 | 63% | 4% | 14% | 19% | -7.3 | +22.1 | -7.4 | -7.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,300 from Hiroshi Daigo | 55% | 14% | 13% | 18% | +10.7 | -8.7 | -2.2 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 18,000 | 71% | 5% | 10% | 13% | -29.2 | -15.6 | +63.5 | -18.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 20% | 1% | 73% | 6% | -1.8 | +20.5 | +3.7 | -22.3 |
| South 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 3,900 | 13% | 2% | 84% | 2% | -3.9 | -1.7 | -2.2 | +7.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 6,400 from Daisuke Suzuki | 12% | 2% | 82% | 4% | +0.2 | +6.5 | +8.6 | -15.4 |