Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

3/17 Game 1

Asami Maki finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Asami Maki tsumo 18,000, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +63.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance	Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance	Asami Maki 1st-place chance	Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance	Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change	Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change	Asami Maki Expected pt change	Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change
East 1	Katsumata Kenji ron 1,500 from Daigo Hiroshi	26%	24%	25%	25%	+6.1	-6.2	+0.1	+0.1
East 1, 1 honba	Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,000 from Asami Maki	30%	20%	26%	24%	-4.9	+1.1	-2.8	+6.7
East 2	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000	25%	22%	24%	30%	+29.5	-17.6	-7.7	-4.2
East 3	Suzuki Daisuke ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi	49%	9%	17%	25%	+2.7	-10.2	-2.7	+10.3
East 4	Draw	52%	5%	13%	30%	+2.2	-0.5	-4.6	+2.9
East 4, 1 honba	Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji	53%	6%	10%	30%	-12.6	+11.9	+0.4	+0.2
South 1	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000	42%	12%	12%	34%	+31.9	-6.6	-9.3	-16.1
South 1, 1 honba	Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji	77%	5%	5%	13%	-16.2	-6.2	+20.2	+2.2
South 2	Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 7,800	62%	5%	14%	19%	-5.5	+21.8	-7.7	-8.5
South 2, 1 honba	Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Daigo Hiroshi	57%	13%	13%	17%	+9.9	-10.5	-1.8	+2.4
South 3	Asami Maki tsumo 18,000	72%	4%	9%	14%	-29.6	-15.4	+63.2	-18.2
South 3, 1 honba	Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke	20%	1%	72%	7%	-1.7	+21.7	+4.4	-24.4
South 4	Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 3,900	13%	2%	83%	2%	-5.0	-2.2	-1.0	+8.2
South 4, 1 honba	Daigo Hiroshi ron 6,400 from Suzuki Daisuke	11%	1%	84%	4%	+0.9	+7.0	+7.2	-15.2