Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/17 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+66.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 2,900 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +7.8 | -6.3 | -0.5 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 21% | 23% | 26% | -10.4 | -2.9 | -1.6 | +14.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 20% | 22% | 36% | +4.6 | +0.9 | -3.1 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 26% | 20% | 21% | 34% | -1.8 | -11.6 | +13.3 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 23% | 14% | 29% | 34% | -22.1 | +22.9 | -2.2 | +1.5 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 12% | 24% | 27% | 37% | -2.2 | -4.2 | -2.7 | +9.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 21% | 24% | 44% | -7.2 | +32.5 | -6.0 | -19.4 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 52% | 19% | 23% | -13.0 | +25.3 | -8.0 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Takaki Asai ron 3,200 from Hiroe Sugawara | 1% | 81% | 8% | 11% | -7.7 | -0.3 | +7.8 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 0% | 82% | 8% | 9% | -10.8 | +2.4 | -11.0 | +19.4 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 85% | 0% | 14% | -1.2 | +8.3 | -0.9 | -6.2 |