Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/17 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+66.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +30.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | +6.7 | -8.4 | -0.3 | +2.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 21% | 24% | 26% | -10.3 | -2.7 | -3.2 | +16.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 19% | 22% | 38% | +3.4 | +1.8 | -1.8 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asai Takaki ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 23% | 21% | 22% | 34% | -0.6 | -12.0 | +11.9 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 24% | 12% | 29% | 35% | -21.3 | +23.0 | -1.8 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 12% | 26% | 26% | 35% | -0.9 | -4.1 | -4.1 | +9.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 22% | 23% | 43% | -8.3 | +30.6 | -4.4 | -17.9 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 48% | 19% | 25% | -13.9 | +27.2 | -8.8 | -4.5 |
| South 2 | Asai Takaki ron 3,200 from Sugawara Hiroe | 1% | 81% | 7% | 12% | -6.9 | -0.2 | +8.4 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 0% | 83% | 8% | 9% | -11.3 | +1.4 | -10.4 | +20.4 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 84% | 1% | 15% | -1.3 | +9.4 | -1.4 | -6.6 |