Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/20 Game 1
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+56.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +46.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -6.3 | -1.2 | +4.9 | +2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 21% | 23% | 28% | 28% | -0.9 | +31.2 | -30.3 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 46% | 11% | 25% | -2.5 | -6.6 | +11.4 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 17% | 40% | 17% | 26% | +1.6 | +2.7 | -7.3 | +3.0 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 44% | 11% | 28% | -2.5 | +2.0 | +6.3 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 17% | 47% | 15% | 22% | -3.4 | -27.4 | -1.1 | +32.0 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 12% | 20% | 13% | 55% | -0.3 | +41.6 | +0.3 | -41.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 64% | 12% | 14% | -11.0 | -20.7 | +46.8 | -15.1 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 3,900 | 6% | 35% | 50% | 9% | -1.8 | -7.5 | +13.9 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 21% | 70% | 6% | -8.4 | -2.4 | +1.6 | +9.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Shibukawa Namba | 1% | 14% | 78% | 8% | -2.3 | +0.8 | -3.9 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 16% | 74% | 10% | -6.9 | -2.4 | +14.8 | -5.5 |