Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/20 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +63.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -11.9 | +20.4 | -3.7 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 42% | 20% | 22% | -2.6 | -7.8 | -3.9 | +14.4 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Takaki Asai | 16% | 34% | 19% | 32% | +1.4 | -0.8 | -15.7 | +15.1 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 15% | 32% | 10% | 44% | -2.0 | -12.2 | -2.4 | +16.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 12% | 19% | 7% | 62% | -0.4 | +0.4 | +22.6 | -22.6 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 25% | 21% | 40% | -17.5 | -7.5 | +28.3 | -3.3 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 5% | 18% | 42% | 36% | -5.2 | -4.8 | -4.3 | +14.2 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 2% | 12% | 34% | 52% | -3.3 | +0.8 | +6.0 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 10% | 45% | 44% | -6.5 | +63.6 | -16.9 | -40.2 |