Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/21 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+65.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +32.4 | -2.7 | -29.8 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 4,000 | 48% | 22% | 8% | 22% | -5.7 | -1.6 | +9.3 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 43% | 22% | 12% | 22% | +22.9 | -2.8 | -19.3 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 6,000 | 67% | 13% | 4% | 16% | -3.1 | -4.8 | +11.3 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Win | 64% | 12% | 8% | 16% | -3.4 | +20.8 | -10.4 | -7.1 |
| East 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 60% | 24% | 5% | 12% | +3.2 | +0.1 | +17.9 | -21.2 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 66% | 23% | 7% | 5% | +6.0 | -0.3 | -4.6 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 71% | 19% | 6% | 4% | +1.0 | +0.9 | +3.8 | -5.7 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi | 76% | 17% | 5% | 3% | +3.6 | -5.4 | -0.8 | +2.6 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 84% | 8% | 5% | 3% | -3.8 | +19.8 | -10.5 | -5.5 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 76% | 23% | 0% | 1% | +13.6 | -11.7 | +5.8 | -7.7 |