Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/21 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+65.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +30.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 27% | 23% | 24% | 26% | +30.6 | -0.1 | -30.0 | -0.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 4,000 | 48% | 21% | 10% | 21% | -5.3 | -0.1 | +8.0 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 45% | 22% | 12% | 21% | +21.9 | -3.6 | -19.2 | +1.0 |
| East 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 6,000 | 66% | 13% | 4% | 17% | -3.2 | -6.3 | +12.5 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Win | 64% | 12% | 8% | 17% | -3.2 | +24.1 | -10.6 | -10.3 |
| East 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 60% | 24% | 4% | 11% | +3.3 | +0.3 | +16.6 | -20.1 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 66% | 23% | 7% | 4% | +4.8 | +0.4 | -4.0 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 69% | 21% | 6% | 3% | +2.7 | -2.5 | +3.2 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 76% | 16% | 5% | 3% | +4.1 | -4.2 | -0.9 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 86% | 8% | 4% | 2% | -6.1 | +20.3 | -10.1 | -4.0 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 75% | 24% | 0% | 2% | +14.7 | -12.2 | +5.8 | -8.3 |