Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/21 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+72.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kana Nakada, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +27.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kana Nakada ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +29.2 | -28.7 | -1.5 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 46% | 10% | 22% | 23% | -4.7 | -18.5 | -2.0 | +25.2 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 39% | 4% | 18% | 40% | -0.6 | -8.5 | +10.4 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 37% | 2% | 23% | 38% | -8.2 | -3.8 | +19.1 | -7.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,500 from Kana Nakada | 29% | 1% | 39% | 31% | -6.8 | +1.1 | +10.2 | -4.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 2% | 50% | 26% | -1.6 | -2.5 | +5.2 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kana Nakada | 20% | 1% | 55% | 24% | -26.1 | +0.5 | +27.2 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 1% | 82% | 14% | +8.3 | -1.2 | -4.2 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 18,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 6% | 1% | 80% | 13% | -3.8 | -21.9 | -10.5 | +36.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 4% | 0% | 56% | 40% | -2.0 | +5.4 | +6.9 | -10.4 |
| South 1 | Kana Nakada tsumo 3,900 | 3% | 0% | 69% | 28% | +6.4 | -0.9 | -3.8 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 0% | 66% | 29% | +3.3 | +0.3 | -5.7 | +2.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Kana Nakada | 7% | 0% | 59% | 34% | -11.1 | +5.7 | +2.7 | +2.7 |
| South 2 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 0% | 63% | 35% | +14.5 | -1.6 | +7.5 | -20.3 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 0% | 82% | 15% | -4.2 | +2.6 | +0.6 | +0.9 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 0% | 87% | 12% | -3.6 | +0.5 | +9.8 | -6.7 |