Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/21 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+72.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +27.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 24% | 28% | 27% | 22% | +30.2 | -30.2 | -3.4 | +3.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 48% | 10% | 20% | 22% | -5.2 | -20.7 | +0.9 | +25.0 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 39% | 4% | 19% | 39% | -0.5 | -8.2 | +8.0 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 7,800 | 37% | 1% | 23% | 39% | -7.2 | -4.0 | +18.6 | -7.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,500 from Nakada Kana | 30% | 1% | 38% | 31% | -7.0 | -0.5 | +10.8 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 23% | 1% | 48% | 27% | -1.6 | +0.1 | +5.6 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana | 21% | 1% | 55% | 23% | -28.8 | +0.5 | +27.6 | +0.7 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 1% | 82% | 14% | +10.5 | -1.8 | -4.9 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 18,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 6% | 0% | 80% | 14% | -4.2 | -21.4 | -11.0 | +36.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 4% | 0% | 55% | 41% | -1.3 | +5.4 | +5.6 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 3,900 | 3% | 0% | 67% | 30% | +5.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | -4.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 0% | 68% | 27% | +4.7 | -0.5 | -6.9 | +2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Nakada Kana | 9% | 0% | 59% | 33% | -12.6 | +7.0 | +3.6 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 0% | 66% | 33% | +13.8 | -1.9 | +7.2 | -19.1 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 0% | 83% | 15% | -2.5 | +2.3 | +1.0 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 0% | 90% | 10% | -4.6 | +0.6 | +8.7 | -4.7 |