Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/24 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +28.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +28.9 | -27.9 | +1.5 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 46% | 10% | 22% | 22% | -6.6 | +3.6 | +2.3 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,000 | 42% | 11% | 23% | 24% | -2.6 | +9.5 | -3.9 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 3,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 40% | 16% | 21% | 23% | +3.5 | -5.0 | +9.6 | -8.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 12% | 28% | 18% | -4.5 | +2.2 | +5.7 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 38% | 13% | 33% | 16% | +0.9 | -11.2 | -5.0 | +15.3 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 3,200 from Kana Nakada | 39% | 9% | 28% | 24% | +15.1 | -1.5 | -7.5 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 57% | 7% | 19% | 17% | -3.8 | -4.8 | -1.7 | +10.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 3,200 from Kana Nakada | 53% | 6% | 18% | 23% | +17.8 | -6.5 | -11.5 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 77% | 0% | 8% | 15% | +12.9 | -2.5 | -12.0 | +1.7 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 94% | 0% | 0% | 7% | +4.5 | -5.8 | +2.6 | -1.4 |