Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

3/24 Game 1

Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +26.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Hinata Aiko● Sonoda Ken● Nakada Kana● Sasaki Hisato0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Hinata● Sonoda● Nakada● Sasaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHinata Aiko
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Nakada Kana
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Hinata Aiko
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Nakada Kana
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
East 1Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken28%24%24%24%+26.8-28.0+1.0+0.2
East 1, 1 honbaSonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko46%10%22%22%-6.3+4.2-0.9+3.0
East 2Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,00041%12%23%25%-2.7+5.3+1.2-3.8
East 2, 1 honbaNakada Kana ron 3,200 from Sasaki Hisato38%15%24%23%+2.8-0.1+6.0-8.7
East 3Draw41%13%27%18%-4.7+1.1+6.6-2.9
East 3, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken37%13%33%17%+2.9-11.5-4.3+12.8
East 4Hinata Aiko ron 3,200 from Nakada Kana41%8%28%24%+14.0-1.0-6.9-6.1
South 1Draw56%7%21%17%-3.2-4.6-2.8+10.6
South 2, 1 honbaHinata Aiko ron 3,200 from Nakada Kana54%6%18%22%+17.5-7.2-11.8+1.4
South 3Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana77%1%8%14%+11.4-2.6-11.8+3.0
South 4Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken91%0%0%9%+5.8-5.6+2.3-2.6

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)