Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/25 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takeuchi Genta ron 2,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | +10.7 | +0.3 | -1.0 | -9.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 25% | 23% | 20% | -14.4 | -7.2 | +26.2 | -4.6 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 20% | 42% | 16% | +21.5 | -10.3 | -6.0 | -5.1 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 38% | 14% | 35% | 13% | -0.7 | -0.9 | +7.2 | -5.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 7,700 from Takeuchi Genta | 36% | 12% | 41% | 12% | -21.8 | +0.1 | +22.7 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 10% | 66% | 9% | -9.9 | -7.3 | +22.5 | -5.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 5% | 4% | 86% | 4% | -1.2 | -2.8 | -1.4 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 3% | 87% | 5% | -0.6 | +0.4 | +9.4 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 2% | 2% | 95% | 1% | -5.3 | +10.6 | -3.2 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 7,700 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 1% | 3% | 96% | 1% | -4.8 | +16.9 | -11.0 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 9% | 88% | 2% | -7.3 | -14.2 | -1.3 | +22.8 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 1% | 92% | 6% | -0.6 | -1.5 | +3.8 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 95% | 4% | +2.3 | +0.1 | -0.9 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 6,400 from Takeuchi Genta | 1% | 1% | 93% | 5% | -20.6 | -2.7 | -1.4 | +24.7 |
| South 4 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | +30.8 | -24.3 | +0.3 | -6.8 |