Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/25 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +25.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,900 from Kei Nakabayashi | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +7.2 | +2.3 | -1.0 | -8.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 26% | 24% | 20% | -12.7 | -7.1 | +25.5 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 21% | 42% | 17% | +22.6 | -13.9 | -5.8 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,900 from Kei Nakabayashi | 37% | 12% | 37% | 15% | -1.3 | +1.3 | +7.1 | -7.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 7,700 from Genta Takeuchi | 35% | 12% | 42% | 12% | -21.0 | +0.2 | +21.4 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 10% | 65% | 9% | -9.5 | -8.2 | +24.5 | -6.8 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 3% | 87% | 4% | -1.4 | -1.5 | -1.4 | +4.3 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 3% | 88% | 5% | -1.4 | -0.4 | +8.4 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 2% | 2% | 95% | 1% | -5.4 | +10.8 | -3.4 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 7,700 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 2% | 96% | 2% | -3.6 | +16.2 | -10.0 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 8% | 89% | 2% | -7.8 | -14.1 | -2.5 | +24.3 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 1% | 91% | 7% | -1.2 | +0.2 | +4.3 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 95% | 4% | -0.2 | +0.7 | -0.9 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 6,400 from Genta Takeuchi | 1% | 2% | 93% | 5% | -17.9 | -4.1 | -1.7 | +23.7 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | +31.1 | -24.4 | +0.6 | -7.2 |