Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/25 Game 2
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +25.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | +4.7 | +0.8 | -1.3 | -4.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 23% | 25% | 24% | -10.6 | -7.5 | -7.8 | +25.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 17% | 18% | 44% | -4.4 | -4.0 | +2.0 | +6.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 16% | 15% | 19% | 50% | -5.3 | -3.0 | -1.5 | +9.7 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 12% | 11% | 16% | 61% | +0.6 | -7.7 | +6.7 | +0.5 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,300 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 8% | 17% | 64% | -4.4 | -0.3 | +6.7 | -2.0 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 8% | 22% | 63% | -3.2 | +12.1 | -5.9 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 8% | 13% | 20% | 59% | -28.8 | +36.6 | -2.7 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 37% | 16% | 47% | -2.6 | -2.9 | +5.7 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 33% | 19% | 47% | -0.6 | +4.6 | -6.3 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 39% | 11% | 50% | +8.2 | -18.9 | -10.0 | +20.7 |