Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/27 Game 1
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+69.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Shibukawa Namba ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +16.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -3.9 | +10.0 | -1.0 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 3,900 | 21% | 31% | 25% | 23% | -2.2 | +8.9 | -5.1 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 3,000 | 19% | 38% | 21% | 21% | -5.4 | +14.0 | -5.0 | -3.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 15% | 51% | 16% | 18% | -17.1 | +16.6 | +0.1 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 66% | 14% | 14% | +0.3 | -5.4 | +7.8 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 7% | 62% | 18% | 14% | -17.1 | +1.7 | -5.2 | +20.7 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 3% | 63% | 11% | 23% | +7.9 | -5.8 | +2.0 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,700 | 5% | 59% | 15% | 21% | -7.2 | +9.7 | -1.4 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 72% | 11% | 16% | +1.9 | +2.5 | +3.7 | -8.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 7,700 from Nikaido Rumi | 1% | 76% | 12% | 11% | +3.3 | +14.2 | +0.6 | -18.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 89% | 7% | 4% | +14.9 | +0.7 | +2.2 | -17.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 92% | 6% | 1% | -2.3 | -1.3 | +5.4 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 91% | 8% | 1% | +0.9 | +2.5 | -10.6 | +7.2 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 97% | 0% | 2% | +30.1 | +1.8 | -11.9 | -20.0 |