Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/27 Game 1
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+69.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Namba Shibukawa ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +14.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 25% | 23% | 28% | -3.9 | +9.1 | +0.1 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 3,900 | 20% | 31% | 24% | 25% | -4.9 | +10.6 | -4.3 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 40% | 20% | 22% | -4.9 | +14.0 | -4.6 | -4.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori | 13% | 52% | 17% | 18% | -11.9 | +14.9 | -2.7 | -0.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 8% | 65% | 13% | 15% | -3.5 | -4.0 | +9.7 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 6% | 62% | 18% | 14% | -17.6 | -0.4 | -2.5 | +20.5 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 2% | 59% | 14% | 24% | +7.8 | -4.2 | +0.7 | -4.3 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 2,700 | 4% | 59% | 15% | 21% | -6.7 | +9.5 | -1.7 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 72% | 11% | 16% | +2.0 | +2.5 | +3.6 | -8.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 7,700 from Rumi Nikaido | 1% | 76% | 11% | 12% | +3.4 | +14.6 | +1.5 | -19.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 89% | 7% | 3% | +15.2 | +0.1 | +0.8 | -16.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 92% | 6% | 2% | -2.2 | -1.4 | +4.9 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 91% | 7% | 1% | -0.2 | +3.3 | -8.9 | +5.8 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +30.8 | +1.3 | -12.7 | -19.4 |