Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/28 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +30.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | +30.2 | -9.1 | -8.5 | -12.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 4,000 | 47% | 17% | 18% | 18% | -6.6 | -4.3 | +10.8 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 42% | 16% | 24% | 18% | +8.2 | -3.1 | -2.2 | -2.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 12% | 22% | 15% | +5.7 | +1.3 | -4.6 | -2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,900 from Kana Nakada | 56% | 12% | 18% | 13% | -1.6 | -1.3 | -11.9 | +14.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 55% | 12% | 12% | 21% | -0.1 | +3.0 | +5.5 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kana Nakada ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 57% | 12% | 16% | 15% | -8.1 | -0.2 | +7.3 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 14% | 18% | 17% | -3.5 | -18.8 | -8.8 | +31.1 |
| South 3 | Kana Nakada tsumo 7,800 | 43% | 4% | 14% | 40% | -11.3 | -7.1 | +32.1 | -13.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 32% | 3% | 39% | 27% | +13.9 | +30.6 | -44.6 | +0.1 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Kana Nakada | 55% | 14% | 8% | 23% | +26.0 | -6.6 | -17.0 | -2.4 |