Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/28 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +28.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +28.5 | -10.3 | -9.6 | -8.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 46% | 17% | 19% | 19% | -4.7 | -2.2 | +8.6 | -1.7 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 43% | 16% | 23% | 17% | +4.5 | -7.1 | +1.4 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 47% | 11% | 24% | 18% | +7.5 | +3.5 | -5.6 | -5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,900 from Nakada Kana | 56% | 12% | 18% | 15% | -0.2 | -0.8 | -12.7 | +13.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 55% | 12% | 12% | 21% | -1.9 | +4.9 | +5.0 | -8.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 56% | 14% | 14% | 16% | -6.0 | -3.7 | +9.4 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 12% | 20% | 17% | -4.1 | -16.4 | -8.8 | +29.3 |
| South 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 7,800 | 44% | 3% | 14% | 38% | -11.2 | -7.9 | +29.4 | -10.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 31% | 3% | 36% | 30% | +13.0 | +31.1 | -42.1 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Nakada Kana | 54% | 14% | 9% | 23% | +26.3 | -6.4 | -18.1 | -1.8 |