Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/28 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 16,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +62.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 23% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -3.0 | +0.2 | +3.4 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 21% | 26% | 28% | 25% | -1.9 | +7.2 | -7.3 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 30% | 24% | 26% | -6.2 | -16.3 | -3.2 | +25.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 16% | 21% | 47% | +7.4 | -0.5 | -6.8 | -0.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 20% | 16% | 17% | 47% | -15.8 | -0.9 | -2.5 | +19.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 13% | 11% | 67% | -4.8 | -6.0 | +17.8 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 11% | 20% | 61% | -11.2 | -2.1 | -7.4 | +20.8 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 5% | 8% | 85% | -3.4 | -3.6 | +2.2 | +4.8 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 0% | 6% | 93% | -1.4 | -0.6 | +7.2 | -5.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 1% | 11% | 88% | +2.1 | +0.1 | -6.5 | +4.3 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -11.3 | -2.8 | +62.6 | -48.5 |