Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
3/28 Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 16,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +62.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 23% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -5.2 | -0.3 | +3.6 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 21% | 25% | 29% | 26% | +0.4 | +5.9 | -7.5 | +1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 29% | 23% | 27% | -5.6 | -13.8 | -4.3 | +23.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 18% | 20% | 46% | +6.9 | -2.2 | -5.8 | +1.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 20% | 17% | 15% | 48% | -14.3 | -0.9 | -2.7 | +17.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 13% | 11% | 67% | -5.9 | -5.1 | +17.0 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 11% | 19% | 62% | -12.0 | -2.6 | -5.3 | +19.8 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 1% | 6% | 9% | 85% | -3.5 | -3.7 | +2.0 | +5.2 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 1% | 7% | 93% | -0.9 | -0.7 | +6.6 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 1% | 10% | 89% | +1.8 | -0.4 | -6.2 | +4.8 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -11.2 | -2.2 | +62.3 | -48.8 |