Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/16 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +25.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -13.7 | -4.3 | +20.7 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 1,100 | 15% | 22% | 41% | 22% | +1.5 | -4.6 | -2.5 | +5.6 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 16% | 18% | 39% | 27% | +0.9 | +24.5 | -24.3 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 37% | 20% | 26% | -6.8 | +25.9 | -6.7 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 64% | 13% | 14% | -8.0 | +2.0 | +8.3 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 67% | 17% | 12% | -0.1 | +4.4 | -2.5 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 72% | 14% | 10% | -0.7 | -5.2 | +3.5 | +2.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 4% | 68% | 16% | 12% | -14.9 | +6.0 | -8.1 | +17.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 82% | 4% | 13% | -1.1 | -2.6 | -4.5 | +8.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 0% | 78% | 3% | 19% | -3.9 | +19.4 | +17.8 | -33.3 |