Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/16 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +25.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -12.6 | -2.6 | +20.0 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 16% | 22% | 41% | 22% | -0.2 | -4.5 | -1.7 | +6.4 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 15% | 19% | 40% | 26% | +1.7 | +23.8 | -25.0 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 36% | 20% | 27% | -7.6 | +25.6 | -4.5 | -13.5 |
| South 1 | Draw | 10% | 62% | 15% | 13% | -5.7 | +2.1 | +5.6 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 67% | 15% | 13% | -1.9 | +6.0 | -0.5 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 4% | 74% | 14% | 8% | +0.2 | -8.1 | +3.0 | +4.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 4% | 66% | 18% | 12% | -14.8 | +7.1 | -10.0 | +17.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 82% | 4% | 14% | -1.3 | -2.2 | -3.5 | +7.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 77% | 4% | 19% | -4.2 | +19.3 | +17.7 | -32.8 |