Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/17 Game 1
Arisa Date finished 1st (+62.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Arisa Date tsumo 12,000, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +43.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date ron 2,600 from Kana Nakada | 27% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -8.8 | +2.0 | +0.5 | +6.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 26% | 25% | 30% | -1.0 | -5.9 | -1.9 | +8.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 21% | 23% | 38% | -6.6 | +26.7 | -14.1 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 41% | 13% | 31% | -6.4 | -2.4 | +27.1 | -18.4 |
| South 1 | Arisa Date tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 39% | 31% | 17% | -21.9 | -12.4 | -9.4 | +43.7 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 24% | 19% | 56% | -3.2 | -16.3 | -4.6 | +24.2 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 3% | 9% | 88% | +0.7 | +21.6 | -24.9 | +2.7 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 95% | -5.9 | +2.3 | +3.4 | +0.2 |