Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/17 Game 1
Date Arisa finished 1st (+62.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Date Arisa tsumo 12,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +44.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Nakada Kana | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -10.0 | -0.3 | +2.6 | +7.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 24% | 28% | 30% | -2.0 | -3.8 | -1.8 | +7.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 20% | 26% | 37% | -3.6 | +27.4 | -17.8 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 42% | 13% | 30% | -8.0 | -3.3 | +28.3 | -17.0 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 39% | 32% | 18% | -19.7 | -15.0 | -9.9 | +44.7 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 21% | 19% | 58% | -4.4 | -13.4 | -4.8 | +22.5 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 3% | 9% | 88% | +0.4 | +20.6 | -24.5 | +3.5 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 95% | -5.6 | +2.7 | +3.1 | -0.2 |