Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/17 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +30.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -7.1 | -2.5 | +1.8 | +7.7 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 25% | 27% | 30% | -6.9 | +30.9 | -11.5 | -12.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 48% | 16% | 20% | -5.5 | -2.6 | +3.6 | +4.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,100 | 12% | 46% | 19% | 23% | -1.4 | +12.1 | -7.3 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 60% | 12% | 19% | -3.4 | +14.6 | -2.1 | -9.0 |
| South 1 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 6,400 | 6% | 77% | 9% | 8% | -12.2 | -1.7 | +19.4 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 2% | 76% | 16% | 7% | +1.5 | +0.1 | -4.9 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 81% | 11% | 7% | +5.5 | -4.1 | +3.8 | -5.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 75% | 15% | 8% | +23.5 | +4.9 | -17.6 | -10.8 |
| South 4 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 4% | 89% | 2% | 6% | +10.1 | +5.4 | -2.0 | -13.5 |