Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/17 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +31.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -8.3 | +2.0 | -0.6 | +7.0 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 24% | 25% | 31% | -9.9 | +31.4 | -10.0 | -11.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 50% | 17% | 21% | -1.0 | -5.0 | +2.3 | +3.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 45% | 19% | 23% | -3.1 | +13.8 | -6.7 | -4.0 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 61% | 12% | 18% | -3.1 | +14.5 | -2.9 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 6,400 | 6% | 77% | 8% | 9% | -12.7 | -0.8 | +19.1 | -5.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 78% | 14% | 7% | +3.1 | -0.7 | -3.5 | +1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 82% | 11% | 7% | +4.1 | -3.0 | +2.8 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 77% | 14% | 7% | +24.1 | +3.4 | -16.8 | -10.7 |
| South 4 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 4% | 88% | 3% | 6% | +9.6 | +5.5 | -1.9 | -13.2 |