Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/19 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -1.7 | -2.8 | +2.6 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 24% | 26% | 28% | -0.6 | -5.5 | -3.8 | +9.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 22% | 18% | 24% | 36% | +38.2 | -1.1 | -3.1 | -34.0 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 57% | 15% | 17% | 12% | +4.6 | -1.8 | +1.6 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 62% | 14% | 17% | 8% | +1.9 | -15.5 | -0.7 | +14.3 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 67% | 8% | 14% | 12% | -3.2 | -16.4 | -7.0 | +26.6 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 63% | 1% | 10% | 26% | -1.7 | +1.6 | +37.9 | -37.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 58% | 1% | 35% | 6% | +19.6 | +7.1 | -8.9 | -17.8 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 86% | 0% | 12% | 2% | -0.2 | -14.6 | -0.5 | +15.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,500 from Ooi Takaharu | 86% | 0% | 11% | 3% | +1.3 | -0.2 | -4.5 | +3.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 89% | 0% | 7% | 4% | +7.2 | -3.1 | -0.2 | -3.9 |