Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/20 Game 1
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+55.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Daisuke Suzuki ron 6,400 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +26.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +4.1 | -1.1 | -1.8 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +5.0 | -2.2 | -1.5 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 31% | 23% | 23% | 23% | +13.7 | -4.5 | -5.6 | -3.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 41% | 20% | 19% | 21% | -16.1 | -0.4 | +15.7 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 19% | 30% | 22% | +6.8 | -6.0 | +2.4 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 34% | 15% | 31% | 21% | +10.8 | -1.3 | -7.6 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Maki Asami | 44% | 14% | 23% | 19% | +1.1 | +11.8 | -0.4 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 46% | 20% | 24% | 11% | +0.6 | -16.7 | +15.9 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 45% | 11% | 34% | 10% | -2.3 | -11.4 | +18.1 | -4.5 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 6,400 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 37% | 2% | 55% | 6% | +26.0 | -15.9 | -14.3 | +4.3 |
| South 4 | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 76% | 0% | 20% | 4% | -8.4 | -6.5 | -8.3 | +23.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Maki Asami | 68% | 0% | 17% | 15% | +14.4 | +5.8 | -1.7 | -18.5 |