Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/20 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+80.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +27.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -5.6 | +2.9 | -1.9 | +4.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 22% | 26% | 23% | 29% | -21.0 | +27.1 | -1.5 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 10% | 47% | 20% | 23% | +3.8 | -1.4 | -4.5 | +2.2 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 45% | 19% | 25% | -9.7 | -12.7 | +32.0 | -9.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 8% | 32% | 42% | 19% | -6.4 | +9.4 | -1.8 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 40% | 38% | 16% | -4.7 | +15.8 | -2.4 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 57% | 31% | 9% | +27.0 | -6.6 | -10.3 | -10.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 12% | 52% | 27% | 8% | -6.8 | +1.6 | +7.4 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 7,700 from Namba Shibukawa | 6% | 55% | 32% | 7% | +1.5 | +21.9 | -24.8 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 83% | 9% | 4% | -4.8 | +17.6 | -8.1 | -4.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 0% | 96% | 2% | 1% | +4.9 | +16.1 | +3.4 | -24.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -13.2 | -18.0 | +40.2 | -8.9 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 87% | 13% | 0% | -5.2 | -2.2 | +5.5 | +1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 0% | 82% | 18% | 0% | +12.1 | +5.2 | -4.8 | -12.5 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,200 from Namba Shibukawa | 0% | 93% | 6% | 0% | +0.9 | +6.1 | -5.3 | -1.7 |