Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/20 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+80.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +21.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -7.3 | +5.9 | -4.0 | +5.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 20% | 29% | 22% | 29% | -20.2 | +21.2 | -0.2 | -0.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 8% | 44% | 20% | 27% | +6.2 | +0.2 | -5.7 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 44% | 18% | 26% | -10.3 | -11.1 | +33.1 | -11.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 8% | 33% | 42% | 17% | -7.5 | +8.9 | +0.1 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 40% | 40% | 15% | -3.9 | +14.6 | -5.2 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 56% | 30% | 11% | +28.0 | -7.7 | -7.7 | -12.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 50% | 29% | 8% | -8.4 | +3.4 | +5.5 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 7,700 from Shibukawa Namba | 7% | 55% | 31% | 7% | +1.0 | +21.4 | -24.2 | +1.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 83% | 9% | 5% | -4.8 | +18.1 | -7.1 | -6.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 0% | 96% | 3% | 1% | +5.8 | +15.7 | +1.9 | -23.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -13.4 | -18.7 | +41.3 | -9.2 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 85% | 15% | 0% | -4.8 | -1.3 | +5.7 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 0% | 82% | 18% | 0% | +11.9 | +5.7 | -6.6 | -11.0 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,200 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 95% | 5% | 0% | +1.0 | +5.6 | -4.5 | -2.2 |