Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/23 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+63.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +31.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -2.9 | +24.4 | +1.9 | -23.4 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 21% | 42% | 23% | 13% | -0.3 | -5.8 | -0.3 | +6.4 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 22% | 38% | 24% | 16% | +22.1 | +0.3 | -23.5 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 36% | 10% | 16% | -7.9 | -11.9 | +39.0 | -19.2 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 26% | 36% | 8% | -15.3 | +31.6 | -8.7 | -7.6 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 14% | 58% | 23% | 5% | +1.7 | +26.7 | -31.1 | +2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 90% | 4% | 2% | -1.5 | -0.6 | -1.8 | +3.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 3% | 92% | 3% | 2% | +3.4 | +7.1 | -4.8 | -5.6 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -21.5 | -9.3 | -20.7 | +51.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 91% | 0% | 9% | +29.3 | +2.1 | -3.3 | -28.1 |