Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/23 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 16,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +55.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Takaki Asai | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -23.4 | +2.1 | -1.5 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 23% | 24% | 41% | +0.3 | -5.4 | -4.2 | +9.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 19% | 19% | 51% | +1.3 | +3.0 | -5.6 | +1.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 19% | 16% | 54% | +2.8 | -7.5 | +2.2 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 15% | 17% | 55% | -7.1 | +7.4 | +5.0 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 16,000 | 10% | 20% | 19% | 50% | -23.6 | +55.9 | -14.0 | -18.3 |
| South 2 | Takaki Asai tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 75% | 6% | 18% | +5.5 | -1.2 | -3.9 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | Takaki Asai tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 79% | 5% | 15% | +16.4 | +3.2 | -16.0 | -3.6 |
| South 4 | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 89% | 0% | 10% | +36.0 | +2.2 | -10.5 | -27.6 |