Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/23 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 16,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +56.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Asai Takaki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -23.3 | +0.2 | +1.7 | +21.4 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 23% | 24% | 42% | -0.4 | -4.6 | -5.5 | +10.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 11% | 18% | 19% | 52% | +1.8 | +3.5 | -4.9 | -0.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 20% | 16% | 52% | +2.4 | -7.0 | +1.6 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 12% | 16% | 18% | 55% | -5.2 | +6.0 | +5.1 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 16,000 | 10% | 21% | 21% | 48% | -24.7 | +56.7 | -13.5 | -18.4 |
| South 2 | Asai Takaki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 76% | 7% | 17% | +7.4 | -2.3 | -5.6 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Asai Takaki tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 79% | 5% | 16% | +14.3 | +3.2 | -15.1 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 88% | 0% | 12% | +36.6 | +2.6 | -10.6 | -28.6 |