Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/24 Game 1
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +30.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -12.9 | +21.4 | -3.4 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 15% | 41% | 23% | 21% | +2.2 | -0.6 | -13.7 | +12.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 40% | 15% | 29% | -0.5 | +1.2 | -4.1 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 41% | 11% | 32% | +3.3 | -2.3 | +5.4 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 18% | 40% | 15% | 27% | -31.4 | -0.2 | +30.5 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 3% | 38% | 34% | 26% | +5.4 | +4.9 | +0.1 | -10.3 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 6,000 | 4% | 46% | 31% | 19% | -3.5 | -14.1 | +24.0 | -6.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,400 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 2% | 22% | 63% | 13% | +0.3 | -0.4 | +6.7 | -6.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 17% | 72% | 9% | -3.8 | -8.8 | +17.9 | -5.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 4% | 92% | 3% | +3.8 | +0.2 | -0.8 | -3.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 0% | 1% | 95% | 3% | +19.6 | +4.4 | -4.0 | -20.1 |