Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/24 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+49.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 23% | 26% | 27% | +32.0 | -8.0 | -12.0 | -12.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hiroe Sugawara ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 50% | 17% | 17% | 17% | -24.6 | +22.5 | +0.7 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 2,900 from Yu Suzuki | 28% | 33% | 19% | 19% | -0.4 | +7.5 | +0.8 | -7.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 39% | 19% | 15% | -3.2 | -14.1 | +21.7 | -4.4 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 27% | 33% | 14% | -4.3 | +21.9 | -11.0 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 47% | 22% | 11% | -1.9 | -4.2 | +16.1 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada | 19% | 41% | 34% | 6% | -2.2 | +4.5 | -7.8 | +5.5 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 48% | 27% | 8% | -11.7 | -21.0 | -9.3 | +42.0 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 28% | 24% | 33% | +31.2 | -0.5 | -19.6 | -11.1 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000 | 38% | 27% | 14% | 22% | +35.0 | -0.7 | -19.2 | -15.2 |