Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/24 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+49.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +29.6 | -7.3 | -9.5 | -12.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 48% | 19% | 17% | 17% | -20.9 | +19.2 | +0.9 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 2,900 from Suzuki Yu | 30% | 33% | 19% | 18% | -1.3 | +7.1 | -1.5 | -4.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 39% | 17% | 17% | -4.4 | -12.6 | +24.0 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 27% | 33% | 14% | -2.4 | +19.5 | -12.7 | -4.4 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 44% | 22% | 11% | -4.2 | -1.9 | +15.7 | -9.6 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 20% | 42% | 32% | 6% | -4.0 | +3.9 | -5.5 | +5.6 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 49% | 28% | 8% | -9.8 | -19.8 | -10.5 | +40.1 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 28% | 24% | 33% | +32.2 | -1.5 | -18.0 | -12.7 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 39% | 26% | 16% | 20% | +34.3 | -0.5 | -20.4 | -13.3 |