Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/26 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+72.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 18,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -3.7 | -6.9 | +1.6 | +9.1 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 23% | 21% | 25% | 31% | -0.7 | -30.4 | +0.2 | +31.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 6% | 20% | 56% | +4.3 | +2.7 | -6.4 | -0.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 7% | 17% | 56% | -14.6 | -9.7 | -13.9 | +38.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 4% | 1% | 2% | 93% | -0.2 | -6.3 | +7.6 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 1% | 3% | 93% | -7.4 | -3.5 | +10.1 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 4% | 96% | +1.4 | +3.1 | -3.1 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Genta Takeuchi | 1% | 1% | 4% | 95% | +16.3 | -8.1 | -3.3 | -4.8 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 1% | 0% | 4% | 94% | -8.9 | -12.9 | +23.1 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 10% | 89% | -3.8 | -1.9 | -7.7 | +13.4 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +5.3 | +0.6 | +3.3 | -9.2 |