Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/27 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +25.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 28% | 23% | 26% | -14.0 | -10.8 | -1.1 | +25.9 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 19% | 21% | 46% | -4.2 | -9.7 | -6.8 | +20.8 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 11% | 14% | 67% | -3.7 | -5.7 | +16.1 | -6.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 9% | 9% | 24% | 58% | -2.0 | +33.4 | -33.4 | +2.0 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 16,000 | 8% | 24% | 7% | 61% | -11.4 | -12.3 | +43.8 | -20.1 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 19% | 35% | 40% | -12.0 | -4.0 | -7.9 | +24.0 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 0% | 12% | 19% | 69% | -1.4 | +5.5 | -5.6 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 1% | 14% | 15% | 71% | +16.1 | -25.2 | +2.5 | +6.6 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi | 1% | 2% | 13% | 84% | +5.2 | -16.7 | -0.6 | +12.2 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +11.9 | -5.6 | +2.5 | -8.8 |