Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/27 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +25.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -16.1 | -5.4 | -3.3 | +24.9 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 21% | 21% | 45% | -2.7 | -13.8 | -4.4 | +20.9 |
| East 3 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 10% | 14% | 66% | -5.5 | -4.9 | +15.6 | -5.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 8% | 9% | 24% | 59% | +0.3 | +33.0 | -35.9 | +2.7 |
| East 4 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 16,000 | 8% | 23% | 6% | 63% | -13.2 | -10.4 | +45.4 | -21.7 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 21% | 32% | 41% | -11.5 | -7.2 | -6.7 | +25.4 |
| South 2 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 0% | 11% | 18% | 70% | -2.6 | +8.8 | -6.6 | +0.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 14% | 15% | 71% | +17.5 | -26.5 | +3.8 | +5.2 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Rumi Nikaido | 1% | 2% | 15% | 82% | +6.0 | -17.6 | -2.1 | +13.7 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +10.7 | -4.9 | +3.0 | -8.8 |