Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/30 Game 1
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Asami Maki, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +32.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | -10.3 | -5.6 | -6.1 | +22.0 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 21% | 20% | 42% | -14.6 | +31.4 | -7.1 | -9.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 3,900 from Asami Maki | 9% | 43% | 15% | 32% | +0.6 | +12.4 | -0.9 | -12.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 9% | 56% | 15% | 20% | -1.7 | +4.7 | -2.3 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 60% | 13% | 19% | -7.1 | -17.2 | +34.5 | -10.1 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Asami Maki | 6% | 43% | 35% | 16% | +0.8 | +32.7 | -6.1 | -27.4 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Nakada Kana | 3% | 77% | 16% | 4% | -1.0 | -3.9 | +8.1 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 71% | 24% | 2% | +0.5 | +3.8 | -5.4 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 77% | 18% | 2% | -9.7 | -0.1 | -1.0 | +10.7 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 80% | 17% | 3% | -4.9 | +17.7 | -9.5 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 94% | 5% | 1% | +25.5 | -6.7 | -6.8 | -12.0 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 94% | 5% | 1% | +15.0 | +1.6 | -10.1 | -6.5 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +17.4 | -1.2 | -8.1 | -8.1 |