Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/30 Game 2
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 2,700, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -11.5 | +11.3 | -0.5 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 17% | 34% | 23% | 26% | -3.5 | +4.6 | +0.8 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 38% | 25% | 23% | -7.5 | +24.8 | -10.4 | -6.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 1,100 | 8% | 60% | 15% | 18% | -0.3 | -2.6 | +4.0 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 9% | 59% | 16% | 16% | +0.3 | +10.5 | -1.8 | -9.0 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 1,100 | 7% | 70% | 12% | 11% | -0.8 | +4.5 | +1.0 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa ron 1,300 from Hagiwara Masato | 6% | 78% | 10% | 6% | -3.1 | +5.6 | +0.3 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 86% | 8% | 5% | -6.5 | +17.2 | -4.9 | -5.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 97% | 2% | 1% | -1.3 | -2.1 | +6.9 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 96% | 3% | 1% | -7.8 | -7.4 | +22.8 | -7.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 89% | 10% | 1% | -4.6 | -17.2 | +26.5 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 57% | 43% | 0% | -3.7 | +2.5 | -4.4 | +5.6 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 64% | 36% | 0% | -7.5 | -25.5 | +29.0 | +4.0 |