Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
9/30 Game 2
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 3 honba: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -13.5 | +13.8 | -0.9 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 35% | 24% | 25% | -4.3 | +5.3 | +0.8 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 38% | 24% | 23% | -7.1 | +22.9 | -9.1 | -6.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 9% | 59% | 15% | 17% | +0.2 | -3.5 | +4.3 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 9% | 57% | 17% | 17% | +0.5 | +12.4 | -2.1 | -10.8 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date tsumo 1,100 | 7% | 72% | 12% | 9% | -1.7 | +5.2 | 0.0 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Arisa Date ron 1,300 from Masato Hagiwara | 5% | 78% | 10% | 6% | -3.1 | +5.2 | +0.3 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 86% | 9% | 4% | -5.2 | +16.4 | -5.5 | -5.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 97% | 2% | 1% | -1.3 | -1.6 | +5.9 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 97% | 3% | 1% | -8.1 | -7.7 | +23.5 | -7.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 89% | 10% | 1% | -4.4 | -18.4 | +28.8 | -6.0 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 55% | 45% | 0% | -4.6 | +3.2 | -5.4 | +6.9 |
| South 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 63% | 37% | 0% | -6.8 | -25.2 | +28.4 | +3.6 |