Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/3 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+85.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 18,000 from Takaki Asai, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +9.0 | -0.8 | -4.0 | -4.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 24% | 22% | 22% | -22.6 | +34.5 | -4.8 | -7.1 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 14% | 50% | 18% | 18% | +2.5 | -8.1 | +5.3 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 17% | 43% | 21% | 19% | -2.8 | -34.5 | +36.3 | +1.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 18,000 from Takaki Asai | 14% | 15% | 52% | 18% | +1.9 | -0.1 | +36.7 | -38.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 6% | 86% | 2% | -7.2 | -5.1 | +17.2 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 2% | 96% | 0% | +1.4 | -6.2 | +1.2 | +3.5 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,600 from Takaki Asai | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | +16.6 | -1.4 | -4.0 | -11.2 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 3% | 1% | 95% | 0% | +7.7 | -8.1 | +2.2 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 6,400 | 3% | 1% | 97% | 0% | -5.2 | -3.9 | -1.3 | +10.3 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Takaki Asai | 1% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +2.9 | -0.7 | +2.5 | -4.7 |
| South 3 | Takaki Asai ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.9 | -1.4 | -6.2 | +6.7 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Takaki Asai | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +1.7 | +5.3 | +3.4 | -10.3 |