Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/3 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+85.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +41.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | +6.6 | -2.3 | -1.6 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 24% | 24% | 24% | -19.4 | +34.8 | -8.0 | -7.4 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 14% | 52% | 16% | 17% | +2.1 | -8.5 | +5.5 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 16% | 45% | 20% | 19% | -2.9 | -36.8 | +41.5 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 18,000 from Asai Takaki | 13% | 15% | 57% | 16% | +0.9 | +1.9 | +33.1 | -35.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 6% | 86% | 2% | -6.1 | -6.6 | +16.7 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 2% | 96% | 1% | +2.6 | -3.8 | +1.5 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Asai Takaki | 3% | 1% | 96% | 0% | +14.8 | -2.2 | -3.7 | -8.9 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 3% | 2% | 95% | 1% | +9.2 | -8.8 | +2.2 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki tsumo 6,400 | 3% | 1% | 97% | 0% | -5.9 | -4.2 | -0.7 | +10.9 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Asai Takaki | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | +2.7 | -0.6 | +2.2 | -4.3 |
| South 3 | Asai Takaki ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +1.1 | -0.5 | -5.8 | +5.2 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Asai Takaki | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +1.4 | +5.1 | +3.0 | -9.5 |