Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/3 Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +38.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | +6.9 | -3.9 | -4.3 | +1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 7,800 | 28% | 23% | 23% | 26% | +22.1 | -4.8 | -9.1 | -8.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,500 | 46% | 19% | 16% | 20% | -2.9 | -2.3 | +7.5 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,700 | 43% | 18% | 20% | 18% | -0.5 | -9.1 | -1.6 | +11.3 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 43% | 12% | 20% | 25% | +7.6 | -6.0 | -1.5 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 51% | 9% | 17% | 23% | -1.3 | +3.1 | +1.9 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 11% | 18% | 22% | +3.9 | -3.0 | +3.2 | -4.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 54% | 9% | 19% | 18% | -8.9 | +15.9 | -3.2 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 48% | 16% | 19% | 17% | +21.1 | -22.1 | +1.7 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 75% | 2% | 13% | 11% | -3.7 | -1.3 | +6.7 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 70% | 3% | 16% | 11% | -12.5 | -22.8 | +38.9 | -3.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 0% | 55% | 6% | -3.8 | -2.5 | +0.6 | +5.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 32% | 0% | 61% | 8% | -10.5 | +0.6 | +22.0 | -12.1 |