Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/3 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +40.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +6.0 | -0.7 | -3.6 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 7,800 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +22.0 | -6.5 | -8.0 | -7.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,500 | 45% | 20% | 17% | 18% | -2.8 | -3.9 | +5.9 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,700 | 44% | 17% | 20% | 19% | -1.0 | -8.9 | -2.4 | +12.2 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 41% | 12% | 20% | 27% | +7.5 | -2.8 | -2.6 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 51% | 11% | 14% | 24% | +1.0 | +1.9 | +2.9 | -5.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 52% | 11% | 17% | 20% | +1.2 | -1.9 | +5.6 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 53% | 11% | 20% | 17% | -8.5 | +12.3 | -4.6 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 47% | 16% | 19% | 19% | +21.9 | -19.1 | -1.0 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 75% | 2% | 11% | 12% | -2.9 | -2.5 | +8.5 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 71% | 2% | 16% | 11% | -14.7 | -22.8 | +40.1 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 38% | 0% | 56% | 7% | -2.9 | -2.0 | +0.3 | +4.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 31% | 0% | 61% | 8% | -10.3 | +0.4 | +21.8 | -11.8 |