Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/4 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +68.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -2.6 | +2.8 | -2.6 | +2.4 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 28% | 24% | 26% | -4.0 | -14.5 | +23.0 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 16% | 40% | 22% | +23.2 | -4.9 | -13.5 | -4.8 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 38% | 14% | 29% | 20% | +12.2 | +1.0 | +2.7 | -16.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 49% | 13% | 28% | 10% | +7.9 | -1.7 | -4.8 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 59% | 12% | 22% | 8% | -9.4 | -1.1 | +7.7 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 47% | 13% | 30% | 10% | +28.3 | -22.7 | -4.4 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 84% | 0% | 11% | 5% | -7.6 | -18.3 | +24.2 | +1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 65% | 0% | 32% | 3% | -17.0 | -0.6 | +16.9 | +0.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 35% | 0% | 62% | 3% | +7.0 | -3.3 | -4.7 | +1.0 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 0% | 55% | 3% | -5.3 | -3.9 | -6.9 | +16.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 40% | 0% | 50% | 10% | -30.1 | -6.2 | -32.4 | +68.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 4% | 0% | 3% | 93% | -23.2 | +13.2 | +8.4 | +1.6 |