Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/4 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +69.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -2.8 | +5.4 | -3.2 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 29% | 23% | 26% | -2.8 | -16.4 | +23.3 | -4.1 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 17% | 41% | 22% | +23.0 | -4.3 | -13.0 | -5.6 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 38% | 15% | 28% | 19% | +14.7 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -14.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 53% | 13% | 25% | 10% | +4.7 | -0.8 | -1.2 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 57% | 12% | 23% | 8% | -6.5 | -1.2 | +5.0 | +2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 50% | 13% | 28% | 10% | +27.2 | -22.9 | -3.1 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 85% | 0% | 11% | 3% | -9.7 | -18.6 | +24.8 | +3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 63% | 0% | 33% | 4% | -15.6 | -0.4 | +16.7 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 35% | 0% | 63% | 3% | +8.0 | -3.2 | -5.5 | +0.6 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 0% | 54% | 2% | -6.8 | -4.2 | -5.6 | +16.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 39% | 0% | 52% | 9% | -30.6 | -6.1 | -32.6 | +69.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 4% | 0% | 3% | 93% | -22.3 | +13.0 | +7.6 | +1.7 |