Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/4 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -19.3 | -7.9 | -7.1 | +34.3 |
| East 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 1,100 | 12% | 17% | 18% | 52% | -1.5 | -3.2 | +3.1 | +1.6 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 14% | 20% | 55% | +22.7 | -3.6 | -14.4 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 24% | 14% | 12% | 50% | -2.8 | -4.3 | +1.3 | +5.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 10% | 12% | 57% | -11.2 | -8.3 | -7.2 | +26.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 4% | 5% | 83% | +5.4 | +1.0 | -4.5 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 9% | 3% | 3% | 85% | -12.5 | +10.5 | -0.5 | +2.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 2% | 5% | 3% | 90% | +1.7 | +0.2 | +1.4 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 3% | 7% | 3% | 87% | +8.8 | -4.8 | -6.2 | +2.3 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 3% | 1% | 3% | 93% | +3.5 | +1.8 | -10.2 | +4.8 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +4.6 | -2.4 | +1.3 | -3.4 |