Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/7 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +46.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -24.3 | +22.3 | +1.2 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 11% | 41% | 25% | 23% | -0.4 | +10.8 | -11.4 | +1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 50% | 17% | 23% | -5.8 | -11.1 | -6.5 | +23.4 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Nakada Kana | 7% | 38% | 13% | 41% | +9.9 | +1.7 | -8.4 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,700 | 12% | 40% | 9% | 39% | -3.4 | +10.6 | -1.8 | -5.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 9% | 53% | 8% | 30% | +4.0 | +2.1 | -4.0 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 10% | 55% | 7% | 29% | -2.8 | +16.8 | -9.1 | -4.9 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 3% | 76% | 3% | 17% | +15.0 | -12.7 | -3.7 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 65% | 3% | 22% | -10.6 | -22.2 | -13.8 | +46.7 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 86% | -1.0 | -4.9 | -1.6 | +7.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 5% | 0% | 95% | +0.5 | -1.7 | +1.8 | -0.6 |