Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/7 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +45.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -24.5 | +22.1 | +1.3 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 10% | 42% | 23% | 25% | +1.4 | +9.4 | -9.2 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 51% | 16% | 22% | -5.6 | -12.0 | -5.3 | +22.9 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,300 from Kana Nakada | 9% | 37% | 14% | 40% | +6.7 | +3.0 | -8.6 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,700 | 9% | 41% | 10% | 39% | -2.0 | +9.2 | -3.0 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 52% | 8% | 33% | +4.1 | +4.8 | -3.3 | -5.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 9% | 58% | 7% | 27% | -2.9 | +15.2 | -10.0 | -2.3 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 3% | 76% | 3% | 18% | +15.1 | -13.5 | -3.1 | +1.5 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 63% | 3% | 24% | -9.3 | -22.1 | -14.0 | +45.4 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 13% | 0% | 86% | -1.4 | -5.1 | -1.2 | +7.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 4% | 0% | 96% | +0.5 | -1.2 | +1.8 | -1.0 |