Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/7 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +23.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -11.9 | -4.9 | -6.9 | +23.7 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 17% | 21% | 20% | 43% | +26.0 | -26.0 | -0.6 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Rumi Nikaido | 32% | 7% | 19% | 42% | +0.8 | +0.3 | -16.8 | +15.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 5% | 8% | 57% | +5.7 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 34% | 5% | 8% | 53% | -0.7 | -2.5 | -3.9 | +7.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 4% | 5% | 62% | -5.7 | +3.5 | -3.3 | +5.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 22% | 4% | 4% | 70% | +0.7 | +6.4 | -1.9 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 6% | 5% | 65% | -0.3 | -5.8 | +3.8 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 2% | 6% | 69% | -3.7 | -1.7 | -7.6 | +13.0 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Rumi Nikaido | 9% | 0% | 0% | 91% | -2.0 | +5.1 | -11.1 | +8.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Rumi Nikaido | 3% | 0% | 0% | 97% | -0.5 | +2.0 | -9.4 | +7.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +1.0 | +14.0 | -0.5 | -14.6 |