Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/7 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +27.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -14.8 | -5.0 | -7.4 | +27.3 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 15% | 21% | 19% | 45% | +29.3 | -24.6 | -0.9 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi | 34% | 8% | 17% | 41% | +0.3 | -1.4 | -15.2 | +16.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 29% | 6% | 9% | 57% | +6.8 | +0.1 | -3.2 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 36% | 6% | 6% | 52% | -3.6 | -2.0 | -1.9 | +7.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 28% | 4% | 6% | 62% | -4.2 | +0.9 | -2.8 | +6.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 22% | 4% | 4% | 70% | +0.1 | +7.7 | -1.7 | -6.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 25% | 7% | 5% | 63% | +0.6 | -6.0 | +2.8 | +2.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 2% | 5% | 68% | -3.0 | -1.0 | -8.7 | +12.7 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Nikaido Rumi | 10% | 0% | 0% | 89% | -3.5 | +4.7 | -10.2 | +9.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Nikaido Rumi | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -0.5 | +1.7 | -9.2 | +8.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.3 | +14.0 | -0.5 | -14.7 |