Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/8 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +22.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -14.0 | -1.8 | +0.9 | +14.9 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 15% | 22% | 26% | 37% | -0.5 | -1.1 | -5.4 | +7.0 |
| East 3 | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 14% | 20% | 22% | 43% | -18.8 | +1.9 | -3.0 | +19.9 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 5% | 18% | 15% | 62% | -16.9 | +22.0 | -3.6 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 30% | 10% | 59% | -12.7 | -5.1 | -0.6 | +18.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 15% | 6% | 79% | -1.4 | +4.1 | +1.0 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 20% | 6% | 74% | -2.7 | +20.7 | -3.6 | -14.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 46% | 6% | 48% | -2.7 | -16.3 | +21.7 | -2.7 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 31% | 18% | 52% | -3.8 | +21.5 | -9.3 | -8.5 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 64% | 7% | 29% | +2.6 | +16.0 | -8.1 | -10.5 |