Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/8 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +22.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -14.8 | -1.9 | +1.2 | +15.5 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 16% | 25% | 25% | 34% | +0.3 | -2.8 | -6.6 | +9.1 |
| East 3 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 14% | 22% | 19% | 45% | -19.2 | +1.0 | -1.1 | +19.3 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 6% | 18% | 15% | 61% | -16.4 | +22.2 | -4.4 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 2% | 31% | 9% | 58% | -13.8 | -3.7 | -0.4 | +17.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 16% | 5% | 78% | -2.1 | +4.6 | +0.8 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 22% | 6% | 72% | -2.2 | +18.8 | -4.4 | -12.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 45% | 5% | 51% | -2.9 | -15.8 | +22.8 | -4.1 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 31% | 17% | 52% | -3.6 | +19.6 | -9.1 | -7.0 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 60% | 7% | 33% | +2.8 | +17.8 | -8.1 | -12.5 |