Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/8 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+76.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 5,200, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +22.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Takaki Asai | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -3.5 | -14.1 | +1.8 | +15.8 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki | 21% | 17% | 24% | 37% | +9.5 | -2.5 | -6.2 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 14% | 21% | 35% | +3.9 | -5.0 | +3.3 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 5,200 | 32% | 12% | 23% | 34% | -5.2 | -1.1 | -16.4 | +22.6 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,800 from Takaki Asai | 25% | 10% | 11% | 54% | -3.2 | -16.1 | +2.9 | +16.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 4% | 9% | 71% | -2.8 | -3.8 | +9.9 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 15% | 3% | 12% | 70% | +6.5 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 4% | 13% | 64% | -7.7 | +1.5 | -2.0 | +8.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Takaki Asai | 11% | 4% | 10% | 76% | -1.4 | -14.1 | +12.4 | +3.1 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 6% | 0% | 13% | 81% | +9.4 | -0.5 | -9.4 | +0.4 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,800 from Taro Suzuki | 8% | 0% | 4% | 87% | -16.9 | -1.0 | +6.2 | +11.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 1% | 0% | 1% | 98% | +11.5 | +1.5 | -26.1 | +13.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.3 | -2.7 | +5.0 | -3.6 |