Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/8 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+76.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 5,200, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +23.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Asai Takaki | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -0.9 | -12.3 | -0.5 | +13.7 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 23% | 18% | 24% | 36% | +8.4 | -4.1 | -6.0 | +1.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 29% | 14% | 19% | 37% | +4.9 | -3.7 | +1.4 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 5,200 | 32% | 12% | 21% | 35% | -8.0 | -5.0 | -10.9 | +23.9 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Asai Takaki | 23% | 8% | 12% | 57% | -1.5 | -12.1 | +1.0 | +12.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 5% | 10% | 69% | -2.6 | -5.0 | +9.3 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 15% | 3% | 12% | 70% | +5.6 | -0.6 | -0.5 | -4.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 3% | 14% | 64% | -7.3 | +1.9 | -2.3 | +7.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Asai Takaki | 10% | 4% | 10% | 76% | -1.2 | -14.0 | +13.1 | +2.2 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 6% | 0% | 14% | 80% | +9.1 | -0.2 | -10.8 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Suzuki Taro | 8% | 0% | 4% | 88% | -16.8 | -0.9 | +7.0 | +10.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 1% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +11.3 | +1.8 | -26.0 | +12.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.5 | -3.0 | +4.9 | -3.3 |