Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/10 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +34.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +2.2 | -3.0 | -0.7 | +1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 26% | 23% | 24% | 26% | -9.4 | +0.2 | +7.7 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 20% | 22% | 30% | 28% | +0.8 | -2.5 | -23.6 | +25.2 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 19% | 17% | 15% | 49% | -12.5 | -0.3 | +16.6 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 18% | 24% | 45% | +8.5 | +2.2 | -12.3 | +1.6 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 20% | 17% | 47% | -9.1 | +1.1 | +7.2 | +0.8 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 12% | 21% | 18% | 49% | +10.1 | -1.2 | -8.9 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 17% | 20% | 14% | 49% | -3.4 | +30.6 | -0.7 | -26.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 14% | 47% | 15% | 24% | -1.5 | -2.6 | +3.0 | +1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 45% | 16% | 25% | +4.8 | -12.9 | +4.8 | +3.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 31% | 20% | 30% | -8.7 | +34.7 | -20.0 | -6.0 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Takamiya Mari | 4% | 80% | 3% | 13% | -15.5 | -1.7 | +4.2 | +13.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 76% | 3% | 19% | +39.9 | +8.9 | -19.9 | -29.0 |