Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/10 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +3.6 | -0.5 | -4.7 | +1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 27% | 23% | 22% | 27% | -9.3 | -0.9 | +10.9 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 20% | 23% | 30% | 27% | +1.4 | -4.0 | -22.9 | +25.4 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 20% | 19% | 14% | 47% | -14.2 | +0.5 | +15.7 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 13% | 17% | 24% | 46% | +11.1 | +0.1 | -14.1 | +2.9 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Mari Takamiya | 18% | 17% | 14% | 50% | -8.5 | +0.2 | +8.8 | -0.4 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 14% | 18% | 18% | 50% | +9.9 | +0.2 | -9.9 | -0.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 18% | 18% | 13% | 51% | -3.7 | +31.3 | -0.9 | -26.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 46% | 14% | 25% | -3.6 | -2.5 | +6.0 | +0.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 44% | 17% | 25% | +4.9 | -11.0 | +3.0 | +3.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 32% | 20% | 30% | -9.2 | +33.1 | -19.0 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,900 from Mari Takamiya | 4% | 78% | 4% | 14% | -15.2 | -0.6 | +4.0 | +11.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 77% | 4% | 18% | +40.4 | +8.5 | -20.3 | -28.5 |