Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/10 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -5.2 | -13.2 | -2.2 | +20.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 17% | 23% | 40% | -1.5 | -4.1 | -2.7 | +8.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 18% | 13% | 22% | 47% | -5.0 | +10.9 | -5.2 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 18% | 18% | 47% | +1.2 | -4.7 | +7.4 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,600 | 17% | 16% | 23% | 44% | -4.1 | +4.1 | -2.3 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 18% | 21% | 48% | -10.3 | -14.2 | -5.9 | +30.3 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 2% | 9% | 87% | -3.4 | -0.2 | -3.5 | +7.0 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -14.6 | +1.0 | +15.0 | -1.4 |