Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

10/10 Game 2

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +29.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Hori Shingo● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Takizawa Kazunori● Watanabe Futoshi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hori● Matsumoto● Takizawa● Watanabe
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMatsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Watanabe Futoshi
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Watanabe Futoshi
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
East 1Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori25%24%26%25%-4.4-12.1-0.7+17.2
East 2Draw20%18%24%38%+0.1-5.0-1.5+6.5
East 3, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro21%13%22%44%-7.4+11.2-6.7+2.9
East 4Draw16%19%18%47%+1.2-3.9+6.0-3.2
South 1, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,60017%17%22%44%-4.6+4.4-1.7+1.9
South 2Hori Shingo tsumo 8,00013%20%21%47%-8.7-15.6-5.4+29.7
South 3Hori Shingo tsumo 2,0003%2%9%86%-4.3+0.6-4.0+7.7
South 4Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 1,1000%1%1%98%-14.2+0.1+15.4-1.3

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)