Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

10/10 Game 2

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +30.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shingo Hori● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Kazunori Takizawa● Futoshi Watanabe0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shingo● Yoshihiro● Kazunori● Futoshi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Futoshi Watanabe
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Futoshi Watanabe
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
East 1Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa25%24%26%25%-5.2-13.2-2.2+20.6
East 2Exhaustive draw20%17%23%40%-1.5-4.1-2.7+8.3
East 3, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto18%13%22%47%-5.0+10.9-5.2-0.7
East 4Exhaustive draw17%18%18%47%+1.2-4.7+7.4-3.9
South 1, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,60017%16%23%44%-4.1+4.1-2.3+2.3
South 2Shingo Hori tsumo 8,00013%18%21%48%-10.3-14.2-5.9+30.3
South 3Shingo Hori tsumo 2,0002%2%9%87%-3.4-0.2-3.5+7.0
South 4Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,1000%1%0%99%-14.6+1.0+15.0-1.4

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)