Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/11 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+52.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +58.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Genta Takeuchi | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -1.9 | -12.3 | +13.6 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 17% | 36% | 25% | +1.4 | -5.2 | -2.7 | +6.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 14% | 33% | 29% | -7.6 | -7.0 | -16.4 | +31.0 |
| East 4 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 9% | 17% | 59% | -2.5 | +6.0 | -0.4 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 9,600 | 14% | 11% | 18% | 56% | +31.6 | -11.9 | -10.3 | -9.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 37% | 8% | 11% | 44% | -5.7 | -5.2 | +12.1 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 6% | 19% | 43% | -12.8 | +36.6 | -12.6 | -11.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 24% | 25% | 15% | 35% | +3.4 | -7.9 | +2.2 | +2.3 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 18% | 17% | 36% | -10.6 | +43.8 | -22.0 | -11.1 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 67% | 3% | 17% | +58.5 | -26.2 | -9.6 | -22.7 |