Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

10/11 Game 1

Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+52.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +59.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kurosawa Saki● Takeuchi Genta● Kobayashi Go● Suzuki Daisuke0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kurosawa● Takeuchi● Kobayashi● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
East 1Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Takeuchi Genta25%25%25%25%-2.8-12.6+13.2+2.2
East 2Draw22%18%33%27%-1.0-4.8+0.8+5.0
East 3, 1 honbaSuzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,00022%14%35%30%-5.6-6.8-17.8+30.2
East 4Takeuchi Genta tsumo 2,00015%9%19%57%-2.9+4.6-1.4-0.3
South 1Kurosawa Saki tsumo 9,60014%11%17%59%+31.2-9.6-9.3-12.3
South 1, 1 honbaKobayashi Go tsumo 4,00037%8%13%43%-5.8-7.7+11.8+1.7
South 2Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,00030%5%18%47%-12.4+39.1-12.8-13.9
South 2, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Takeuchi Genta24%25%16%35%+3.1-9.1+2.1+3.9
South 3Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,00026%18%18%38%-10.9+43.6-22.0-10.8
South 4Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,00012%68%3%18%+59.6-26.3-9.5-23.8

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)