Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/14 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+71.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 24,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +64.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +28.5 | -7.6 | -9.9 | -10.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 1,500 | 46% | 19% | 19% | 17% | +4.1 | -2.6 | -1.6 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 49% | 17% | 17% | 16% | +0.4 | +8.1 | -9.0 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 21% | 13% | 17% | +2.8 | -3.8 | +3.6 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 54% | 17% | 14% | 15% | -0.5 | -2.8 | -22.8 | +26.0 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 13% | 5% | 30% | -15.3 | -11.7 | -6.5 | +33.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 29% | 7% | 2% | 62% | +0.4 | -5.4 | +4.3 | +0.6 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 5% | 3% | 64% | -9.0 | -2.3 | -1.0 | +12.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 3% | 2% | 83% | -2.0 | +2.4 | +1.6 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 13% | 4% | 3% | 80% | -4.3 | +28.9 | -21.6 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 24,000 | 11% | 13% | 1% | 76% | -21.5 | +64.6 | -8.4 | -34.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 84% | 0% | 15% | +11.6 | -6.3 | -3.0 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 81% | 0% | 16% | +3.3 | -1.2 | +1.3 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 79% | 0% | 15% | -2.6 | -4.4 | +0.5 | +6.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 72% | 0% | 22% | -0.4 | -1.1 | +2.1 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 6% | 71% | 0% | 23% | -5.3 | +13.3 | -4.3 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 90% | 0% | 9% | -0.5 | +4.1 | 0.0 | -3.5 |