Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/14 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+71.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 24,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +62.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +30.0 | -11.4 | -10.6 | -8.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,500 | 47% | 16% | 18% | 19% | +5.0 | -1.3 | -2.7 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 53% | 16% | 14% | 17% | -1.7 | +10.4 | -6.3 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 51% | 20% | 13% | 16% | +0.7 | -4.1 | +4.1 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 53% | 17% | 15% | 16% | +1.4 | -3.9 | -23.9 | +26.4 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 54% | 13% | 5% | 29% | -15.0 | -11.2 | -6.0 | +32.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 29% | 7% | 3% | 61% | +1.5 | -5.5 | +3.7 | +0.4 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 28% | 5% | 3% | 64% | -10.6 | -2.4 | -0.2 | +13.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 12% | 3% | 3% | 82% | -1.1 | +2.9 | +0.7 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 14% | 5% | 3% | 79% | -5.1 | +29.7 | -21.8 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 24,000 | 11% | 14% | 1% | 74% | -21.2 | +62.5 | -8.2 | -33.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 82% | 0% | 17% | +10.6 | -4.6 | -2.6 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 3% | 81% | 0% | 15% | +3.7 | -1.8 | +1.1 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 79% | 0% | 16% | -2.0 | -4.4 | -0.1 | +6.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 6% | 72% | 0% | 22% | -1.4 | -0.4 | +3.6 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 6% | 72% | 1% | 22% | -4.8 | +13.1 | -5.4 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 91% | 0% | 9% | -0.2 | +3.6 | -0.1 | -3.3 |