Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/14 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+78.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | +31.9 | -9.2 | -11.0 | -11.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 7,800 | 49% | 17% | 16% | 18% | +18.0 | -8.9 | -4.3 | -4.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 67% | 11% | 11% | 12% | +21.7 | -6.6 | -6.8 | -8.3 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 85% | 5% | 5% | 5% | -0.5 | -18.4 | +19.8 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 86% | 2% | 8% | 4% | +2.5 | -3.1 | -8.6 | +9.3 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 89% | 1% | 5% | 5% | -6.0 | -4.4 | -14.4 | +24.8 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 83% | 1% | 2% | 13% | +7.4 | -3.6 | -0.5 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 91% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 0.0 | -1.7 | +17.5 | -15.8 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 7,800 | 95% | 1% | 2% | 3% | -3.4 | +12.4 | -4.9 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 93% | 1% | 3% | 3% | +8.0 | -2.2 | -10.8 | +5.0 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 98% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -1.2 | +24.6 | -20.6 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 7,800 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -3.2 | -8.7 | -4.2 | +16.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +2.3 | +2.9 | -2.7 | -2.4 |