Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
10/14 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+78.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +31.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 22% | 27% | 25% | +31.3 | -8.6 | -12.9 | -9.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 51% | 17% | 16% | 17% | +19.3 | -5.3 | -7.2 | -6.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 69% | 11% | 10% | 10% | +19.7 | -7.4 | -7.1 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 85% | 5% | 5% | 5% | -0.2 | -20.2 | +20.1 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori | 85% | 2% | 8% | 4% | +1.5 | -3.1 | -7.6 | +9.1 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 88% | 1% | 6% | 6% | -3.4 | -4.4 | -15.9 | +23.7 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 85% | 1% | 2% | 12% | +5.6 | -3.9 | +0.5 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 92% | 0% | 1% | 6% | +0.2 | -1.8 | +16.5 | -15.0 |
| South 2 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 7,800 | 94% | 0% | 3% | 3% | -3.0 | +12.6 | -4.9 | -4.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 94% | 1% | 2% | 4% | +7.5 | -1.3 | -10.8 | +4.6 |
| South 3 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | -1.0 | +23.1 | -19.1 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 7,800 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -3.2 | -8.2 | -3.9 | +15.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +2.2 | +3.0 | -3.2 | -2.0 |